Every year is another opportunity to find solid investment teams for the NFL season. Following hot streaks is crucial to make consistent profit on the NFL games you love the most. So, this article attempts to uncover "The Good, the Average, and the Ugly" of the upcoming NFL season so you can feel safe when placing your NFL bets.
First let's identify the "Good" teams that are set to perform well this season both ATS and SU.
The Good (Teams with a minimum +3 differential over the oddsmakers)
Arizona - With Whisenhunt growing more comfortable in the desert, it's time for this franchise to turn itself around this season. TE Leonard Pope will be a standout reciever for whoever is at QB, not mention LF and AB catching passes from Warner or Leinart. The Cardinals do have options at QB, with 2 capable starting QB's.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 11-5 ATS
Atlanta Falcons - As terrible as this team was last season, they still posted an 8-8 ATS record. They have improved on defense in the off season and grabbed a stable QB Matt Ryan. Look for the oddsmakers to goof up on giving them points at home against teams they can defeat.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 9-6-1 ATS
Carolina Panthers - One thing you can count on is death, taxes, and the Panthers being favored by 3 points in almost every home game. The Panthers have improved their offensive line and Delhomme will surprise this season. They went 8-8 ATS last year, so expect this number to improve.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 9-6-1 ATS
Cincinnati Bengals - Carson Palmer will have more time this year to pass with an improved offensive line. Most importantly, the defense is getting better and they will push for a much better season this year.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 10-5-1 ATS
Denver Broncos - After a 4-11 ATS stint last year, this number only seeks to improve this season. Jay Cutler will be in his third year and he actually showed us som great things last season. Look for the Broncos to dominate at home and improve their ATS records drastically this year. Oddsmakers won't know what hit them!
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 13-3 ATS
KC Chiefs - After a terrible 4-12 ATS year last season, the Chiefs are much improved on all sides of the ball. Look for the Chiefs to improve drastically against the number, especially at Arrowhead.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 11-5 ATS
Tennessee Titans - The Titans have one of the best defenses in the NFL and they have VY who will look to rebound from a mediocre season. Last season, the Titans were 7-8-1 ATS. Look for this number to improve with the oddsmakers under setting the lines.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 10-6 ATS
Washington Redskins - The Skins were a mediocre 7-7-2 last season, which very well could have been much less. They got better all around and Zorn likes to score. Look for solid underdog value against teams like Dallas, NY, and Philly.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 11-5 ATS
The Average (Teams with an EVEN to +2 differential over the oddsmakers)
Baltimore Ravens - After a terrible 3-13 ATS, things will only improve for the Ravens. Flacco could be taking snaps by week 4, which would dramatically improve the offense. The defense is still good, which will give them anATS advantage unnoticed by the oddsmakers. Look for line under setting with this team as you can grab underdog value against higher classed teams.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 9-7 ATS
Chicago Bears - The Bears underachieved in 2007, look for a better year all around. Orton and Grossman will be an ongoing battle for QB this season, but look to get solid underdog value against higher classed teams.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 8-8 ATS
Detroit Lions - Same team from last year that went 6-9-1 ATS. Look for this team to improve all around and surprise the oddsmakers in a few games.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 9-7 ATS
Houston - This is one of the only teams that will be at or around the same ATS record as last season. They made needed improvements to the running game, but still play in a very tough division.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 8-7-1 ATS
Indianapolis - The Colts will always have higher spreads at home from -10-14. With increasing inner-division competition and the age of the marquee players, look for a mediocre ATS season this year from the Colts.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 8-8 ATS
New England - The Pats ended the season on a downward ATS slide, even though they posted an overall 10-6 ATS record. Their division got tougher with Brett Favre and the Bills improved also. Look for whopping spreads at home from -8-14 that the Pats just can;t cover against teams that can beat them.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 8-8 ATS
New Orleans - After an obnoxious 6-10 ATS record last year, the Saints stock will improve. Look for more wins and more covers from this explosive offense that now holds Shockey.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 9-7 ATS
NY Giants - After a 9-6-1 ATS season, look for their stock to fall a little. The Giants are still stacked on both sides of the ball and you will see a lot of offense from Eli Manning and these talented wide receivers.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 9-7 ATS
New York Jets - With Favre under the helm, expect more wins and covers from a potentially explosive team. They have dangerous special teams that can change the complexity of games.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 8-7-1 ATS
Oakland - Much improved all around especially on defense. Hall will be a nice addition at CB and let's not ignore the running game which will keep games close.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 9-7 ATS
Philly - The Eagles will win more games this year, and not get much respect from the oddsmakers. This team still has playmakers on offense and stacked up defensively in the off-season.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 8-8 ATS
San Diego - After an 11-5 ATS record last season, look for their stock to fall a little bit. They will still win games and they are scary on both sides of the ball. LT and Gates can do big things, and let's not even mention their special teams/defense.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 9-7 ATS
Seattle Seahawks - They will still be one of the dominant teams in the West along with Arizona. They have a solid defense and playmaking ability on the offense. Not to mention one of the better classed coaches in the NFL who is in his last season.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 9-7 ATS
The Ugly (Teams with a negative differential to the oddsmakers)
Buffalo - They will not sneak up on the oddsmakers again this season.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 6-9-1 ATS
Cleveland - After a 12-4 ATS record last season, look for a complete turnaround as the oddsmakers will set enticing lines for the public bet.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 6-10 ATS
Dallas - The Cowboys will win games, but there is more divisional competition and aftr a 9-7 ATS record last season, expect their stock to fall into the negative.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 7-9 ATS
Green Bay - The Packers went 13-3 ATS, the best team to bet on last season. Don't expect a repeat by any means with Rodgers at QB. They will win games, but not by much.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 6-10 ATS
Jacksonville - The Jags will not sneak up on the oddsmakers again this season and they are in a tough division.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 7-9 ATS
Miami - The Dolphins will continue to struggle both SU and ATS. A good team to bet against.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 6-10 ATS
Minnesota - The Vikings will be good, but not a good team to bet on. Inflated lines will result in a negative ATS record.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 7-8-1 ATS
Pittsburgh - After a medicore 8-8 ATS record last season, look for their stock to fall a bit. They still have offensive line questions as they allowed the most sacks last year and Batch already went down in the off season due to poor offensive protection.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 7-9 ATS
San Francisco - The Niners will once again struggle both ATS and SU.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 5-10-1 ATS
St. Louis - The offensive line is still in poor condition and they will struggle all around.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 5-11 ATS
Tampa Bay - Good team all around, but will not be a good team to bet on. Tougher competition in the NFC south will hinder their ATS production.
Projected ATS Records:
Overall 7-8-1 ATS
We hope you have enjoyed this posting. Please let us know if you have any questions about Football Investing or this article.
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