NFL & NCAA Investing Picks - Weekly rated picks on NFL and college football games that perform at a 62% lifetime average since 1996. Last season NFL ATS Record = 80-59-3 (62.4%). Last season College Football ATS Record = 78-58-2 (60%)

Sunday, August 31, 2008

College Football News & Notes - Week 1

Stay tuned to these posts, because every week we will be reviewing the top College and NFL football news.  So, without further delay, here is our breakdown from week 1 college football:

1) USC - Questions Answered:  If there ever were any doubt about this football team and their quarterback, this doubt has been addressed.  Sanchez looked like a star quarterback and showed remarkable ability to throw off his gimpy leg.  Further, what impresses me, is their merciless defensive effort as they held the Cavs to only 7 points, and they had to struggle to get those points.  The fact is this defense will carry this USC team, even if the offense sputters.  But, I don't see them sputtering with Gable and McKnight out of the backfield if Sanchez has a bad day.

2) Beanie Wells - Injury Status: Ohio State looked solid, but bad news is it came at a price.  RB Beanie Wells was banged up on the goal-line and the injury will be addressed this week.  We will keep an eye on the situation and update you as we move along.

3) Missouri Tigers - Live Up to the Hype! All summer long this team has been hyped and the game against Illinois was hyped.  By far, the game did live up to expectations.  The Tigers were chalked as the 10 point favorites, and they won by exactly 10 points.  What was most impressive was Jeremy Maclin who returned a kick for a TD and had a slew of catches.  The only problem is, he had to be carried off the field towards the end of the game with a foot injury.  Chase Daniel looked solid in his debut, he will be a Heisman candidate, along with Jeremy Maclin.

Juice Williams also negated any doubt about his passing ability as he tossed 3 critical TD's and almost had another one in the 4th quarter.  Look for Williams and this Illinois offense to find their identity in a few more games.  The absence of Rashard Mendenhall was a serious factor as they struggled to run the football against the Mizzou defense.  

4) ECU Pirates - Upset?  Was this really an upset?  Sure, on paper they were getting 9.5 points.  But, this was against a VT team that has questions at many positions and lost most of their starters in the off-season.  Nice punt block in the 4th quarter by the way, ECU covered and won outright as a 9.5 chalk, mighty impressive for week 1.

5) APP State - Dud!  While the nation hyped this game up, what they forgot is that LSU is a much different team than Michigan.  They are bigger, faster, and better.  Even their 2nd string could beat Michigan. While the Mountaineers are respectfully a solid team in their conference, please stay in your conference! Your playing with teams loaded with NFL talent, in fact this LSU team could give a few NFL teams a run for their money, at least for 2 quarters ;)

6) PITT - Upset?  Again, we have a team that is too high up in the preseason ranking polls.  The Panthers sure did beat WVA last year, but this team was never a top 25 team - sorry Pittsburgh fans.  They are respectfully a 30-40 ranked team and have no business in the top 25 this year.  Congrats Bowling Green, you got another big win!

7)  ACC - Not Looking Good:  Well, the ACC is struggling for the most part.  Sure, UNC and Duke did get wins yesterday, but slowly this conference is losing face.  Maryland hardly snuck by Delaware winning by only 7 points.  Wake Forest will be the headliner for this conference, and make no mistake this is a weak conference right now.  Clemson, Virginia Tech, NC State, and Virginia were all destroyed by bigger and better conferences.  

8) What Happened to Clemson?  I think Cullen harper got worst in the off-season.  This Clemson team looked like a slow, tired group compared to this mediocre Alabama team.  GIve credit to the Tide for being prepared as Nick Saban has been haunted by this game for 3 months.  Nice cover as the 4.5 underdog to actually win outright. 

9)  SEC Powerhouses:  Once again, the bigs dominated in week 1 from the SEC conference.  Make no mistake about it, this is the best conference in college football.  Auburn, LSU, Florida, and Georgia respectfully demolished their opposition as they should.  Can Tennessee do the same on Monday night against UCLA?

10) Michigan Loses their Opener - Again!  Looks like the new head coach has no answers for a team that seriously lacks talent in every single position.  Let's leave it at that.  Rich, you have your work cut out!

We hope you have enjoyed week 1 college football news and notes.  By the way, we posted a 3-1-1 ATS record this week with our college football picks.  If your looking to make serious money betting on college football this year, you should check out our College Football Betting Package that will give you 5-10 College Football picks per week that include full detailed analysis and sides for each game.  






 

Thursday, August 21, 2008

Top NFL Investment Teams 2008-2009

By: www.nflchoice.com

Every year is another opportunity to find solid investment teams for the NFL season. Following hot streaks is crucial to make consistent profit on the NFL games you love the most. So, this article attempts to uncover "The Good, the Average, and the Ugly" of the upcoming NFL season so you can feel safe when placing your NFL bets.

First let's identify the "Good" teams that are set to perform well this season both ATS and SU.

The Good (Teams with a minimum +3 differential over the oddsmakers)

Arizona - With Whisenhunt growing more comfortable in the desert, it's time for this franchise to turn itself around this season. TE Leonard Pope will be a standout reciever for whoever is at QB, not mention LF and AB catching passes from Warner or Leinart. The Cardinals do have options at QB, with 2 capable starting QB's.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 11-5 ATS


Atlanta Falcons - As terrible as this team was last season, they still posted an 8-8 ATS record. They have improved on defense in the off season and grabbed a stable QB Matt Ryan. Look for the oddsmakers to goof up on giving them points at home against teams they can defeat.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 9-6-1 ATS


Carolina Panthers - One thing you can count on is death, taxes, and the Panthers being favored by 3 points in almost every home game. The Panthers have improved their offensive line and Delhomme will surprise this season. They went 8-8 ATS last year, so expect this number to improve.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 9-6-1 ATS


Cincinnati Bengals - Carson Palmer will have more time this year to pass with an improved offensive line. Most importantly, the defense is getting better and they will push for a much better season this year.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 10-5-1 ATS


Denver Broncos - After a 4-11 ATS stint last year, this number only seeks to improve this season. Jay Cutler will be in his third year and he actually showed us som great things last season. Look for the Broncos to dominate at home and improve their ATS records drastically this year. Oddsmakers won't know what hit them!

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 13-3 ATS


KC Chiefs - After a terrible 4-12 ATS year last season, the Chiefs are much improved on all sides of the ball. Look for the Chiefs to improve drastically against the number, especially at Arrowhead.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 11-5 ATS


Tennessee Titans - The Titans have one of the best defenses in the NFL and they have VY who will look to rebound from a mediocre season. Last season, the Titans were 7-8-1 ATS. Look for this number to improve with the oddsmakers under setting the lines.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 10-6 ATS


Washington Redskins - The Skins were a mediocre 7-7-2 last season, which very well could have been much less. They got better all around and Zorn likes to score. Look for solid underdog value against teams like Dallas, NY, and Philly.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 11-5 ATS


The Average (Teams with an EVEN to +2 differential over the oddsmakers)

Baltimore Ravens - After a terrible 3-13 ATS, things will only improve for the Ravens. Flacco could be taking snaps by week 4, which would dramatically improve the offense. The defense is still good, which will give them anATS advantage unnoticed by the oddsmakers. Look for line under setting with this team as you can grab underdog value against higher classed teams.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 9-7 ATS


Chicago Bears - The Bears underachieved in 2007, look for a better year all around. Orton and Grossman will be an ongoing battle for QB this season, but look to get solid underdog value against higher classed teams.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 8-8 ATS


Detroit Lions - Same team from last year that went 6-9-1 ATS. Look for this team to improve all around and surprise the oddsmakers in a few games.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 9-7 ATS


Houston - This is one of the only teams that will be at or around the same ATS record as last season. They made needed improvements to the running game, but still play in a very tough division.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 8-7-1 ATS


Indianapolis - The Colts will always have higher spreads at home from -10-14. With increasing inner-division competition and the age of the marquee players, look for a mediocre ATS season this year from the Colts.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 8-8 ATS


New England - The Pats ended the season on a downward ATS slide, even though they posted an overall 10-6 ATS record. Their division got tougher with Brett Favre and the Bills improved also. Look for whopping spreads at home from -8-14 that the Pats just can;t cover against teams that can beat them.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 8-8 ATS


New Orleans - After an obnoxious 6-10 ATS record last year, the Saints stock will improve. Look for more wins and more covers from this explosive offense that now holds Shockey.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 9-7 ATS


NY Giants - After a 9-6-1 ATS season, look for their stock to fall a little. The Giants are still stacked on both sides of the ball and you will see a lot of offense from Eli Manning and these talented wide receivers.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 9-7 ATS


New York Jets - With Favre under the helm, expect more wins and covers from a potentially explosive team. They have dangerous special teams that can change the complexity of games.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 8-7-1 ATS


Oakland - Much improved all around especially on defense. Hall will be a nice addition at CB and let's not ignore the running game which will keep games close.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 9-7 ATS


Philly - The Eagles will win more games this year, and not get much respect from the oddsmakers. This team still has playmakers on offense and stacked up defensively in the off-season.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 8-8 ATS


San Diego - After an 11-5 ATS record last season, look for their stock to fall a little bit. They will still win games and they are scary on both sides of the ball. LT and Gates can do big things, and let's not even mention their special teams/defense.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 9-7 ATS


Seattle Seahawks - They will still be one of the dominant teams in the West along with Arizona. They have a solid defense and playmaking ability on the offense. Not to mention one of the better classed coaches in the NFL who is in his last season.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 9-7 ATS


The Ugly (Teams with a negative differential to the oddsmakers)


Buffalo - They will not sneak up on the oddsmakers again this season.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 6-9-1 ATS


Cleveland - After a 12-4 ATS record last season, look for a complete turnaround as the oddsmakers will set enticing lines for the public bet.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 6-10 ATS


Dallas - The Cowboys will win games, but there is more divisional competition and aftr a 9-7 ATS record last season, expect their stock to fall into the negative.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 7-9 ATS


Green Bay - The Packers went 13-3 ATS, the best team to bet on last season. Don't expect a repeat by any means with Rodgers at QB. They will win games, but not by much.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 6-10 ATS


Jacksonville - The Jags will not sneak up on the oddsmakers again this season and they are in a tough division.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 7-9 ATS


Miami - The Dolphins will continue to struggle both SU and ATS. A good team to bet against.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 6-10 ATS


Minnesota - The Vikings will be good, but not a good team to bet on. Inflated lines will result in a negative ATS record.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 7-8-1 ATS


Pittsburgh - After a medicore 8-8 ATS record last season, look for their stock to fall a bit. They still have offensive line questions as they allowed the most sacks last year and Batch already went down in the off season due to poor offensive protection.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 7-9 ATS


San Francisco - The Niners will once again struggle both ATS and SU.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 5-10-1 ATS


St. Louis - The offensive line is still in poor condition and they will struggle all around.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 5-11 ATS


Tampa Bay - Good team all around, but will not be a good team to bet on. Tougher competition in the NFC south will hinder their ATS production.

Projected ATS Records:

Overall 7-8-1 ATS


We hope you have enjoyed this posting. Please let us know if you have any questions about Football Investing or this article.

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